KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
claude-fable-5.1-max 80.7%En tête parmi 6 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
48 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
7,2 k €
Liquidité
16,9 k €
Liquidité moyenneDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
31 août 26, 17:3030 sept. 26, 14:00
Tendances
Règles
If claude-opus-4-6-thinking is the top-ranked AI model on Sep 30, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)
- If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.
- Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
- If claude-opus-5-high is the top-ranked AI model on Sep 30, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
AI
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- September 30-0.1pt99%
- October 31+0.6pt99%
- September 15+0.6pt98%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 457,4 k €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-4.0pt59.2%
- ChatGPT-1.3pt24.3%
- Grok+0.9pt7.8%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 8,7 M €
POLYMARKETGPT-6 released by which date?
- October 31,+9.1pt100%
- November 30,+6.8pt100%
- December 31,+5.5pt100%
+10 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETOpenAI's Astra released on?
- September 4+27.7pt37%
- September 17+22.2pt23%
- September 24+22.1pt23%
+27 résultats de plus
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude-10.0pt76.5%
- ChatGPT+5.0pt16.7%
- Gemini+2.0pt2.9%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 149,2 k €
KALSHIWhen will OpenAI release GPT-6?
- Before Sep 16, 2026+14.0pt99%
- Before Oct 1, 2026+9.0pt99%
- Before Nov 1, 2026+6.0pt99%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Which week will OpenAI release Astra?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- When will OpenAI release Astra?
- Anthropic IPO by which date?
- AI capability growth this year?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
- OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Top AI model in September? ?
- Kalshi cote claude-fable-5.1-max à 81% au 4 septembre 2026.
- Quand Top AI model in September? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Top AI model in September? doit être résolu le 30 septembre 2026.
- Comment Top AI model in September? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If claude-opus-4-6-thinking is the top-ranked AI model on Sep 30, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.