KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelleBefore 2027 60%-1.0%En tête parmi 8 options
Qualite du marche
80 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
2,7 k €
Liquidité
22,6 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
59.0% / 63.0%
Spread
6.8%
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
25 juin 26, 19:001 janv. 27, 4:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Before 202760%
Également disponible sur Manifold Markets
GPT 6 (OpenAI) release date
1mo
0%
0%
0%
+22 résultats de plus
Prévision communautaire151 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice
Volume total40 k €
Volume 24h446,7 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSRègles
If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
- If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Marchés Associés
When will OpenAI release GPT-5.6?
12,2 k €Before Jul 7, 2026: 4%KALSHI
KALSHI
Which company has best AI model end of July?
318,5 k €Anthropic: 91%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Best AI this week
79,7 k €ChatGPT: 2%KALSHI
KALSHI
GPT-5.6 released by...?
70,5 k €July 31: 99%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
44,3 k €↑$1.1T: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Top AI model this week
21,9 k €claude-fable-5: 5%KALSHI
KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
UN's First AI Safety Panel Says Scientists Can't Rule Out 'Catastrophic Harm'Decrypt
Google Unveils Gemini 3.5, Android 17 AI Features in June 2026Blockchain.News
NVIDIA Explores RLVR for AI Agents with Nemotron 3 SuperBlockchain.News
Anthropic Launches Claude Sonnet 5: Mid-Tier AI with Opus-Level FeaturesBlockchain.News
X.ai Launches No-Code Voice Agent Builder for Grok VoiceBlockchain.NewsTogether AI Raises $800M Series C for Open-Source AI PushBlockchain.NewsRègles
If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
- If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.