PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
October 31 88%+0.5ptEn tête parmi 5 options
Qualite du marche
69 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
20,5 k €
Liquidité
20,3 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
7.0% / 9.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread serréComments
16
Variation 7j
-8.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 minutes
1 août 26, 21:5231 oct. 26, 23:59
Tendances
0%
Règles
On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed “Astra,” describing an internal version of Astra as its “next major model.” You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI releases "Astra" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
- Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
- For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
