Will the US economy still be "normal" in each of the following ways on February 14, 2029?

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Questions fréquentes

Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the US economy still be "normal" in each of the following ways on February 14, 2029? ?

Manifold Markets cote The Gini coefficient is less than 0.60 à 92.2% au 26 octobre 2026.

Quand Will the US economy still be "normal" in each of the following ways on February 14, 2029? sera-t-il résolu ?

Will the US economy still be "normal" in each of the following ways on February 14, 2029? doit être résolu le 14 février 2029.

Comment Will the US economy still be "normal" in each of the following ways on February 14, 2029? est-il réglé ?

Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Freddie deBoer's proposed a bet with Scott Alexander, predicting that all of these 17 conditions will be true: I'm Offering Scott Alexander a Wager About AI's Effects Over the Next Three Years.

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POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in October?

• No change-0.6pt95%
• 25 bps increase5%
• 25 bps decrease0%

+2 résultats de plus

Volume total

60,3 M €

Volume 24h

4 M €

POLYMARKET

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

• Hike–Pause–Hike-1.0pt74.8%
• Hike–Pause–Pause21.2%
• Hike–Hike–Hike-0.3pt2%

+6 résultats de plus

KALSHI

Argentina inflation rate MoM for October

• Above 1.0%99.5%
• Above 1.2%97.5%
• Above 1.4%93.5%

KALSHI

CPI in October

• Above 0.0%99%
• Above -0.1%98.5%
• Above 0.1%89.5%

POLYMARKET

US economic state at the end of 2026?

• Overheating+3.5pt98%
• Soft Landing-2.0pt2%
• Slack-0.3pt0%

+1 résultats de plus

POLYMARKET

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

• 5.3%+8.0pt46%
• 5.4%+1.0pt23%
• 5.5%-0.8pt13%

+11 résultats de plus

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