Prévision communautaire actuelle
2032 86.6%En tête parmi 7 options
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète29 oct. 25, 23:27 UTC31 déc. 32, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
The Remote Labor Index (RLI) is a benchmark of 240 long-horizon remote labor tasks, collected as a representative sample of fully-remote labor performed by freelancers.
- Tasks in the dataset take human professionals between several hours to several hundred hours (see figures from the paper below).
- Though most of the benchmark is private, the creators will occasionally report model performance on the benchmark as evaluated by themselves and/or model providers.
- At the end of each listed year, I will resolve to the highest reported RLI automation rate (fraction of tasks completed) of an AI model that year.
- The current best evaluated model as of October 2025 is Manus, at a 2.5% automation rate.
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