Will the United States be in charge of at least part of Greenland by January 20, 2029?
One-OffGéopolitiqueUS PoliticsPolitique2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 89.1%
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25
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 21 heures
Obsolète25 janv. 26, 16:01 UTC20 janv. 29, 17:00 UTC
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FutuurRègles
Will the United States, by 12:00 p.m. Eastern Time on January 20, 2029, have taken steps that place Greenland or part of it under U.S. governing authority?
- For purposes of this market, “part of Greenland” means a defined geographic area of Greenlandic land territory together with the civilian population ordinarily residing there.
- The exercise of authority limited solely to any of the following does not, by itself, constitute being “in charge of part of Greenland”:
- Airspace, territorial waters, exclusive economic zones, or maritime navigation
- Ports, harbors, or customs facilities absent broader civil governance of the surrounding land area
- Security zones, exclusion zones, or access controls established solely for military or diplomatic purposes
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the United States be in charge of at least part of Greenland by January 20, 2029? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 89% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the United States be in charge of at least part of Greenland by January 20, 2029? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the United States be in charge of at least part of Greenland by January 20, 2029? doit être résolu le 20 janvier 2029.
- Comment Will the United States be in charge of at least part of Greenland by January 20, 2029? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Will the United States, by 12:00 p.m. Eastern Time on January 20, 2029, have taken steps that place Greenland or part of it under U.S. governing authority?