Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 04:28 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleNon 72.7%
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète1 juin 25, 23:50 UTC1 janv. 50, 00:48 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the ICJ determine that Myanmar committed genocide?
Manifold MarketsWill the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza, Palestine?
Manifold MarketsWill the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza?
Manifold MarketsWill the ICJ determine that Israel committed war crimes in Gaza?
Manifold MarketsNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketRussia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the International Court of Justice (ICJ) issues a final, legally binding judgment determining that the Russian Federation committed genocide, as defined by the 1948 Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide.
- The resolution will be based on official ICJ publications or reputable news sources reporting on the ICJ's final decision.
- If no such determination is made by the ICJ, the market will resolve to "No."
- The Genocide Convention, adopted in 1948, defines genocide and obligates signatory states to prevent and punish genocide, acts of genocide, incitement to genocide, and so on.
- Ukraine initiated proceedings against Russia at the ICJ after the Russian invasion of Ukraine.