Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 25 oct. 2026, 20:28 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleNon 55.4%
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6
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète31 mai 25, 21:28 UTC1 janv. 50, 00:00 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the ICJ determine that Russia committed genocide?
Manifold MarketsWill the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza, Palestine?
Manifold MarketsWill the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza?
Manifold MarketsWill the ICJ determine that Israel committed war crimes in Gaza?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketRègles
The International Court of Justice (ICJ) is currently deliberating on the case brought by The Gambia against Myanmar, alleging genocide against the Rohingya people.
- This market resolves to "Yes" if the ICJ issues a ruling determining that Myanmar committed genocide against the Rohingya, and "No" otherwise.
- In order for this question to resolve yes, the ICJ needs to rule that Myanmar committed genocide.
- A ruling that Myanmar breached the Genocide Convention or even that its forces committed acts of genocide (as in the Croatia vs Serbia) does not count.
- See this market https://manifold.markets/nathanwei/will-the-icj-determine-that-myanmar?play=true on whether Myanmar violated the Genocide Convention.