Will the ICJ determine that Myanmar committed genocide?
One-OffManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 55.4%
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète31 mai 25, 21:28 UTC1 janv. 50, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
The International Court of Justice (ICJ) is currently deliberating on the case brought by The Gambia against Myanmar, alleging genocide against the Rohingya people.
- This market resolves to "Yes" if the ICJ issues a ruling determining that Myanmar committed genocide against the Rohingya, and "No" otherwise.
- In order for this question to resolve yes, the ICJ needs to rule that Myanmar committed genocide.
- A ruling that Myanmar breached the Genocide Convention or even that its forces committed acts of genocide (as in the Croatia vs Serbia) does not count.
- See this market https://manifold.markets/nathanwei/will-the-icj-determine-that-myanmar?play=true on whether Myanmar violated the Genocide Convention.
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the ICJ determine that Myanmar committed genocide? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 55% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the ICJ determine that Myanmar committed genocide? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the ICJ determine that Myanmar committed genocide? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2050.
- Comment Will the ICJ determine that Myanmar committed genocide? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : The International Court of Justice (ICJ) is currently deliberating on the case brought by The Gambia against Myanmar, alleging genocide against the Rohingya people.