Will the ICC or similar tribunal find Russians guilty of war crimes re the Nova Kakhovka dam failure?
GéopolitiqueOne-OffRussie / Ukraine3a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 61.9%
Prévisionnistes
18
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
6 juin 23, 13:22 UTC1 janv. 30, 04:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Did the Russians deliberately blow up the Nova Kakhovka dam? (Resolves NO if it was negligence rather than sabotage)
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PolymarketRègles
For this question to resolve YES, these Russians would need to have been acting under orders (or with tacit approval from superiors) of some official or quasi official army, militia, or other government agency of Russia, as opposed to an unauthorized independent act of terrorism or corruption by Russian Nationals.
- However I will presumptively assume that they were acting under orders unless there is clear evidence or statement by the tribunal to the contrary.
- I will plan to resolve this by 2030 at the latest if there is no movement on such a case.
- But I will probably extend the resolution if there is a case in progress.
- See also these markets: @/YaakovSaxon/did-the-russians-yes-or-the-ukraini @/YaakovSaxon/did-the-russians-deliberately-blow @/YaakovSaxon/did-the-russians-intend-to-destroy