Will the 2026 Time Person of the Year be a single person?
Politique américaineOne-OffSanté et médecineRussie / Ukraine1moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 52.9%
Prévisionnistes
10
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 minutes
9 nov. 26, 22:39 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will a single person become TIME's 2026 Person of the Year?
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Manifold MarketsWill TIME's 2026 Person of the Year be EXCLUSIVELY one person?
Manifold MarketsWho will be on the 2026 Time Person Of The Year Shortlist?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if TIME magazine names exactly one individual human being as the 2026 "Person of the Year" upon its official announcement.
- This market resolves to NO if TIME chooses any of the following for the 2026 title:
- Multiple named individuals jointly (e.g., 2020's Joe Biden and Kamala Harris).
- A group or collective archetype (e.g., 2017's "The Silence Breakers", 2014's "The Ebola Fighters", 2011's "The Protester").
- An object, technology, or abstract concept (e.g., 1982's "The Computer", 2006's "You").