Prévision communautaire actuelle
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Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète21 juin 23, 18:58 UTC1 janv. 35, 07:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Conditional on CCP losing power, will China's GDP-PPP per capita catch up with EU by 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill China's GDP-PPP per capita catch up with EU by 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia surpass Japan in GDP per capita (PPP) by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill Poland surpass the UK in GDP per capita by PPP prior to 2035?
Manifold MarketsChina unemployment rate in October
KalshiChina GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q4 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Source is IMF. 2023 values are 73.34k for Taiwan and 80.03 for USA.
- Resolves N/A if China invades Taiwan:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/O/will-china-invade-taiwan-by-2035) I think this is very likely based on the indicators of economic freedom and IQ, the rate of recent development, and the AI-induced boom in semiconductors.
