Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 52%
Prévisionnistes
10
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète9 mai 23, 17:22 UTC1 janv. 52, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Taiwan surpass the USA in GDP (PPP) per capita before 2035 if it isn't invaded by China?
Manifold MarketsWill China's GDP per capita surpass Japan's by the end of 2035?
Manifold MarketsChina GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?
PolymarketIn which decade will China's GDP surpass US GDP?
Manifold MarketsWill China's GDP surpass US GDP before 2035?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolves NA if this market resolves Yes
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/JonathanRay/will-china-still-be-controlled-by-t) Otherwise it resolves the same as this market:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/JonathanRay/will-chinas-gdpppp-per-capita-catch)
Marchés ouverts
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 89,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 M €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 541,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 30,7 k €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 334,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 12,8 k €
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP58%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 10,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 10,7 k €
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes2%
- Volume total
- 612,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 6,9 k €
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No95%
- Yes+1.0pt5%
- Volume total
- 2,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 5,3 k €
- Recession in 2027?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- CPI in September
- CPI core in August
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment in September
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Conditional on CCP losing power, will China's GDP-PPP per capita catch up with EU by 2050? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 52% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Conditional on CCP losing power, will China's GDP-PPP per capita catch up with EU by 2050? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Conditional on CCP losing power, will China's GDP-PPP per capita catch up with EU by 2050? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2052.
- Comment Conditional on CCP losing power, will China's GDP-PPP per capita catch up with EU by 2050? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves NA if this market resolves Yes