France defaults on debt by 2027?
ÉconomieOne-OffObligations et bons du TrésorChineEuropeMacro et économie2moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 91.7%
Prévisionnistes
10
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 23 heures
Obsolète2 oct. 25, 10:28 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Resolution criteria
- Resolves YES if, on or before 23:59:59 on December 31, 2027 (Paris time), any of the following occurs for the sovereign “French Republic”:
- The ISDA Credit Derivatives Determinations Committee publicly rules a sovereign Credit Event (Failure to Pay, Repudiation/Moratorium, or Restructuring).
- Source: ISDA DC portal and ISDA sovereign credit‑event definitions. [cdsdeterminationscommittees.org], [isda.org] (isda.org)
- S&P Global Ratings assigns France an issuer credit rating of SD (Selective Default) or D. Definitions: S&P/Taiwan Ratings. [taiwanratings.com] (taiwanratings.com)
- Fitch Ratings assigns France an Issuer Default Rating of RD (Restricted Default) or D. Definitions: Fitch Ratings. [your.fitchratings.com] (your.fitchratings.com)