Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 83.6%
Prévisionnistes
12
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète3 juil. 26, 17:18 UTC3 juil. 27, 17:15 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Is Alex going to resolve his market about Russia's drone attack on Poland fairly?
Manifold MarketsWill Lukashenko still be the President of Belarus by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Lukashenko be president of Belarus by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsBelarus, Russia, Ukraine, Kazahstan - Entangled market.
Manifold MarketsNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketRussia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
PolymarketRègles
https://archive.is/BkISd
- Resolves YES if any of the following occur:
- Russian or Belarussian soldiers cross into Polish territory without explicit Polish permission
- Critical Polish infrastructure is targeted in a kinetic attack with Russian or Belarussian missiles or drones
- A "simulated air strike" from Russia or Belarus in which Poland activates its air defenses
- Resolves based on a consensus of credible reporting.