Will Russia detonate a nuclear device on Ukraine soil by December 31, 2026?
GéopolitiqueOne-OffRussie / Ukraine2mois
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Données au 25 oct. 2026, 11:13 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
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Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète8 nov. 24, 17:24 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
The delivery method of the device is irrelevant.
- The device itself must detonate causing a nuclear chain reaction and explosion.
- A dirty bomb does not cause a chain reaction and so will resolve to “No.”
- The territory of Ukraine is considered to be all territory claimed prior to the 2014 Russian invasion and seizure of Crimea and Donbas.