Will Russia cede territory to China by 2040 as predicted by Sarah Paine?
GéopolitiqueOne-OffRussie / UkraineChine13a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 56.4%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète7 févr. 25, 07:25 UTC31 déc. 39, 12:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
In this interview at 1:50:50 Sarah Paine predicts that China will choose an opportune time to demand territory in Siberia from Russia.
- She says that a war is unlikely, rather the Chinese will give the Russians an offer they can't refuse.
- In particular she notes Lake Baikal will be very useful for China's water shortages.
- https://youtu.be/LbkO84MsmyM
- This market resolves if any such concessions are made by 2040.
