Will research towards time travel be a cause area of Effective Altruism before 2030?
One-OffScienceSociété et culture3aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 94.3%
Prévisionnistes
13
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 29 minutes
8 mai 23, 13:31 UTC2 janv. 30, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Resolves yes if any of the following occur: - 80k hours mentions time-travel research in any substantive way to encourage work in the field (or discourage for any reason other than time travel being considered impossible)
- - Any fund listed on the EA website under "EA Funds" disburses funds to a program designed to research time travel - this includes research into potential impacts, ethics, etc., not just feasibility.
- - Any other fund commonly considered to be part of 'Effective Altruism' does the same (resolving at my discretion)
- Question resolves to N/A if time travel is conclusively proved possible or impossible prior to a YES resolution (e.g. if a government deploys such a technology before the EA-community becoming aware of the possibility).
- Technicalities resolve at my discretion (e.g. if 'Effective Altruism' splinters into multiple movements, etc.)
- Resolves to NO otherwise.
