Will president Trump mint the coin at any point during his administration?
ÉconomiePolitiqueOne-OffUS Politics2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 92.8%
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binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète27 févr. 25, 04:46 UTC20 janv. 29, 02:59 UTC
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PredictItRègles
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trillion-dollar_coin
- Given the troubles Johnson went through to become speaker, many believe there will be upcoming fights over the budget, debt ceiling, and government shutdowns.
- President Trump can get around this by "minting the coin" (see above link - TL;DR, he has the authority to tell the mint to strike a platinum coin of arbitrary value to overcome limits).
- Will President Trump ever mint the coin (or coins) during his administration? This resolves YES if/when two conditions are both fulfilled:
- Such a platinum coin(s) is/are minted
- Trump is president at the time (or was at the time the order to mint the coin was given)
Marchés ouverts
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+12.0pt64.7%
- No change-12.0pt34.3%
- 50+ bps increase+0.2pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 97,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 4,8 M €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.0%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
+23 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 702,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 91 k €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.2%+3.0pt99%
+12 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 400 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%-1.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-8.0pt26%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 34,5 k €
KALSHIUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.5% of GDP92%
- Above -5.0% of GDP79%
- Above -4.5% of GDP-5.0pt62%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 28,3 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No97%
- Yes-3.0pt3%
- Volume total
- 2,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 4,9 k €
- Core inflation in August 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- GDP growth in 2026
- China unemployment rate in August
- US government budget balance in 2026
- Recession in 2027?
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Will the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.8% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
- More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will president Trump mint the coin at any point during his administration? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 93% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will president Trump mint the coin at any point during his administration? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will president Trump mint the coin at any point during his administration? doit être résolu le 20 janvier 2029.
- Comment Will president Trump mint the coin at any point during his administration? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trillion-dollar_coin