Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 94%
Prévisionnistes
21
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète9 oct. 25, 21:04 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will over 5000 Gazans be killed by the IDF in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the "5000 Gazans" market bankrupt @Chumchulum?
Manifold MarketsDid Israel execute unarmed Gazans on December 19th for no good reason?
Manifold MarketsWill Mojtaba Khamenei be killed by US/Israeli forces in 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Only direct, violent deaths count, so no starvation or death from a lack of medical care (unless the ailment in question was the result of Israeli violence)