Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 52.4%
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète2 avr. 25, 23:21 UTC31 déc. 39, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Norway has become a member of the European Union before January 1st 2040.
- This also applies if a main successor to Norway joins a main successor to the EU before that date. “Strong evidence” may include formal accession treaties, official announcements by relevant governing bodies, or other clear confirmation that membership has been granted.
- If there is no such membership or evidence thereof by January 1st 2040, the market will resolve as NO.
Marchés ouverts
Europe
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- 50+ bps decrease0%
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- Volume total
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Norway become a member of the EU before 2040? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 52% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Norway become a member of the EU before 2040? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Norway become a member of the EU before 2040? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2039.
- Comment Will Norway become a member of the EU before 2040? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Norway has become a member of the European Union before January 1st 2040.