Will Nectome perform 1,000+ brain preservations in a single calendar year before 2030?
One-OffHealth & MedicineScienceTech3aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 94.8%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 47 minutes
En retard2 avr. 26, 15:28 UTC31 déc. 29, 23:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Nectome perform 1,000+ brain preservations in a single calendar year before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill any manufacturer ship 1 GW or more of perovskite solar modules in a single calendar year by December 31, 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill any manufacturer ship 1 GW or more of perovskite solar modules in a single calendar year by December 31, 2030?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market resolves YES iff Nectome preserves over a thousand patients in a single calendar year.
- I will be lenient about what counts as a preservation, and resolve based on any credible claim by the company.
- See also: https://manifold.markets/MaxHarms/will-nectome-perform-1000-brain-pre
- Update 2026-04-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Only human brain preservations count toward resolution.
- Animal (e.g. pet) preservations do not count.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Nectome perform 1,000+ brain preservations in a single calendar year before 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 95% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Nectome perform 1,000+ brain preservations in a single calendar year before 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Nectome perform 1,000+ brain preservations in a single calendar year before 2030? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2029.
- Comment Will Nectome perform 1,000+ brain preservations in a single calendar year before 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market resolves YES iff Nectome preserves over a thousand patients in a single calendar year.