Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 91.5%
Prévisionnistes
20
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète21 juin 25, 04:44 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will my type 1 diabetes be cured before 2030
Manifold MarketsWill the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 diabetes before 2033?
KalshiWill my non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) be cured by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhy is ice cream consumption correlated with reduced diabetes risk?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Beam Therapeutics submit a BLA for Risto-cel?
KalshiWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
KalshiRègles
[tweet]I am a type 1 diabetic in Canada.
- I don’t know if I produce any insulin but if I do it’s not much.
- I became diabetic 6 years ago at 17.
- The resolution criteria for this market is not too strict; if i need to inject insulin every few days, or something, that’s ok.
- If for the typical meal I can just eat it and not inject insulin and not go in hyperglycemia, that would probably me sufficient for this market.
- A requirement is that if I am ‘cured’ of type 1 diabetes, I would need to have to spend less than half the time on diabetes related tasks in a typical week.
Marchés ouverts
Health & Medicine
POLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No97%
- Yes3%
- Volume total
- 15,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 11,6 k €
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No-1.0pt93.1%
- Yes+1.0pt6.9%
- Volume total
- 921 k €
- Volume 24h
- 4,7 k €
POLYMARKETMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- ↑3.5k100%
- ↑500+0.1pt100%
- ↑1k+0.1pt100%
+9 résultats de plus
KALSHIMedtronic cardiovascular growth in Q2
- Above 8%92%
- Above 9%81%
- Above 11%45%
+6 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,4 k €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000-1.0pt60%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 869,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,3 k €
KALSHIPandemic in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes5%
- Volume total
- 612,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,1 k €
- When will Beam Therapeutics submit a BLA for Risto-cel?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?
- What will RFK say during RNC Midterm Convention?
- Will the FDA approve retatrutide?
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- When will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
- Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?
- How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
- Will the FDA approve cytisinicline for smoking cessation?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will my type 1 diabetes be cured before 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 92% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will my type 1 diabetes be cured before 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will my type 1 diabetes be cured before 2027? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will my type 1 diabetes be cured before 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : [tweet]I am a type 1 diabetic in Canada.