Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 71.3%
Prévisionnistes
21
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard21 juin 25, 16:44 UTC31 déc. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will my type 1 diabetes be cured before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 diabetes before 2033?
KalshiWill All Diseases and Aging be Effectively Cured by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhy is ice cream consumption correlated with reduced diabetes risk?
Manifold MarketsHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketNew pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
[tweet]I am a type 1 diabetic in Canada.
- I don’t know if I produce any insulin but if I do it’s not much.
- I became diabetic 6 years ago at 17.
- The resolution criteria for this market is not too strict; if i need to inject insulin every few days, or something, that’s ok.
- If for the typical meal I can just eat it and not inject insulin and not go in hyperglycemia, that would probably be sufficient for this market.
- A requirement is that if I am ‘cured’ of type 1 diabetes, I would need to have to spend less than half the time on diabetes related tasks in a typical week.
Marchés ouverts
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No97%
- Yes3%
- Volume total
- 15,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 11,6 k €
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No-1.0pt93.1%
- Yes+1.0pt6.9%
- Volume total
- 921 k €
- Volume 24h
- 4,7 k €
POLYMARKETMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- ↑3.5k100%
- ↑500+0.1pt100%
- ↑1k+0.1pt100%
+9 résultats de plus
KALSHIMedtronic cardiovascular growth in Q2
- Above 8%92%
- Above 9%81%
- Above 11%45%
+6 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,4 k €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000-1.0pt60%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 869,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,3 k €
KALSHIPandemic in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes5%
- Volume total
- 612,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,1 k €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will my type 1 diabetes be cured before 2030 ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 71% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will my type 1 diabetes be cured before 2030 sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will my type 1 diabetes be cured before 2030 doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2029.
- Comment Will my type 1 diabetes be cured before 2030 est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : [tweet]I am a type 1 diabetic in Canada.