Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 53.3%
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 56 minutes
En retard10 mars 24, 18:16 UTC1 janv. 33, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 diabetes before 2033?
KalshiWill my type 1 diabetes be cured before 2030
Manifold MarketsWill my type 1 diabetes be cured before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill there be an FDA Approved treatment for Myalgic Encephalomyelitis/Chronic Fatigue Syndrome by 2030.
Manifold MarketsRaniPill microneedle pill to replace injections: approved for sale by the end of 2026?
FutuurTdi-11861 (a fast-acting male contraceptive) approved for human clinical trials by the end of 2026?
FutuurRègles
From @NevinWetherill
- I think a good rule-of-thumb for existing-patient cures would be "a treatment such that those who undergo the treatment at any point after being diagnosed with type 1 do not have a life noticably inconvenienced by any effects of their condition after the treatment."
- Insulin pumps will not count
Marchés ouverts
Health & Medicine
POLYMARKETMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- ↑500+0.1pt100%
- ↑1k+0.1pt100%
- ↑2k+0.2pt100%
+9 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 6,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 28,1 k €
POLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No97%
- Yes3%
- Volume total
- 15,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 21,5 k €
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.5pt93.1%
- Yes+0.5pt6.9%
- Volume total
- 944,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 8,2 k €
KALSHIWhich countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?
- Kenya14%
- India6%
- Ethiopia-2.0pt5%
+13 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 22,4 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 600061%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 882,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 k €
KALSHIWill 3 mg THC beverages qualify as hemp under federal law?
- On Nov 13, 202696%
- On Mar 13, 202789%
- On Nov 19, 202786%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 16,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,3 k €
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- When will the FDA approve Compass Pathways' COMP360 Psilocybin?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- Pandemic in 2026?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
- Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
- When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?
- FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- How many gonorrhea cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will there be an FDA approved cure for Type 1 Diabetes by EOY 2032? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 53% au 15 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will there be an FDA approved cure for Type 1 Diabetes by EOY 2032? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will there be an FDA approved cure for Type 1 Diabetes by EOY 2032? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2033.
- Comment Will there be an FDA approved cure for Type 1 Diabetes by EOY 2032? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : From @NevinWetherill