PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelleOui 12%-0.0%
Qualite du marche
52 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
238,8 €
Liquidité
2,4 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
11.0% / 12.0%
Spread
9.1%
Spread largeVariation 7j
-4.5%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
12 janv. 26, 23:0931 déc. 26, 0:00
Tendances
Résultat choisi
Yes12%
Également disponible sur Kalshi
Will the FDA approve retatrutide?
11.0%6mo
-11.0%17%
-7.0%85%
-7.0%87%
+2 résultats de plus
28 • Faible qualitéSpread largeFaible liquiditéMarché peu profond
Volume total102 €
Volume 24h5,1 €
KALSHIRègles
Retatrutide is a triple agonist hormone/peptide drug developed by Eli Lilly and currently in trial to treat obesity, fatty liver disease, type-2 diabetes, knee osteoarthritis, and more.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S.
- Food and Drug Administration (FDA) grants a full or conditional approval for Eli Lilly’s for a drug product whose active ingredient is Eli Lilly’s retatrutide (including any brand name or identifier such as LY3437943) for any use between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- An approval is defined as: For new drugs: FDA issuance of an approval letter for a New Drug Application (NDA) or Biologics License Application (BLA) For already-marketed drugs seeking new indications: FDA approval of a supplemental NDA (sNDA) or supplemental BLA (sBLA) for the specific indication referenced For generic drugs: FDA approval of an Abbreviated New Drug Application (ANDA) For biosimilars: FDA approval of a 351(k) application
- The following constitute qualifying approvals: Standard approval (traditional approval based on clinical benefit), Accelerated approval (based on surrogate endpoints), Approval with Risk Evaluation and Mitigation Strategy (REMS), Approval with restricted distribution or indication limitations, except compassionate use/expanded access programs
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
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Retatrutide is a triple agonist hormone/peptide drug developed by Eli Lilly and currently in trial to treat obesity, fatty liver disease, type-2 diabetes, knee osteoarthritis, and more.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S.
- Food and Drug Administration (FDA) grants a full or conditional approval for Eli Lilly’s for a drug product whose active ingredient is Eli Lilly’s retatrutide (including any brand name or identifier such as LY3437943) for any use between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- An approval is defined as: For new drugs: FDA issuance of an approval letter for a New Drug Application (NDA) or Biologics License Application (BLA) For already-marketed drugs seeking new indications: FDA approval of a supplemental NDA (sNDA) or supplemental BLA (sBLA) for the specific indication referenced For generic drugs: FDA approval of an Abbreviated New Drug Application (ANDA) For biosimilars: FDA approval of a 351(k) application
- The following constitute qualifying approvals: Standard approval (traditional approval based on clinical benefit), Accelerated approval (based on surrogate endpoints), Approval with Risk Evaluation and Mitigation Strategy (REMS), Approval with restricted distribution or indication limitations, except compassionate use/expanded access programs