Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 94.3%
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète2 févr. 26, 11:54 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
This market resolves YES as soon as it is widely reported by reputable sources (major tech news outlets, academic institutions, or official FrontierMath/Epoch AI announcements) that Moltbook has first solved at least one previously unsolved open problem on FrontierMath by December 31, 2026 (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems, might change during the year, most up to date list counts).
- YES resolution requires clear documentation that the solution was generated by an AI agent operating on Moltbook and verified as correct by FrontierMath.
- The market resolves NO otherwise in 2027.
- It resolves N/A if FrontierMath ceases to operate.
- I will not bet in this market.
- FrontierMath is a benchmark of hundreds of unpublished and extremely challenging math problems designed to help understand the limits of artificial intelligence.