Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2027, according to Berkeley Earth? ?

Manifold Markets cote Yes à 90.8% au 26 octobre 2026.

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Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2027, according to Berkeley Earth?

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Prévision communautaire actuelle

Oui 90.8%

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binary

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 15 heures

Obsolète

13 janv. 24, 04:00 UTC13 janv. 28, 07:59 UTC

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Résultat24hProbabilité

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Règles

Berkeley Earth releases a Global Temperature Report each January that includes the previous year's global annual average temperature according to their data.

For 2023, Berkeley Earth reported global warming was 1.54 °C. This question resolves YES if Berkeley Earth reports that annual average warming is equal to or higher than 1.50 degrees Celsius in 2027.
For easy reference, here are Berkeley Earth's past numbers going back to 2010:
[image]Same question but for:

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Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2027, according to Berkeley Earth?

Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2027, according to Berkeley Earth?

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