Will China officially acknowledge its new sixth-gen tailless stealth fighter prototypes (J-36 / J-50) before 2027
GéopolitiqueOne-OffChina3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 51.1%
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5
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète7 mars 26, 13:49 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketRègles
[image]In December 2024, videos and photos of two previously unknown tailless stealth combat aircraft emerged on Chinese social media: a large triple-engine design (unofficially called the Chengdu J-36) and a smaller twin-engine design (unofficially called the Shenyang J-50 or J-XDS).
- These are widely assessed by Western analysts as "sixth-generation" fighter prototypes.
- As of March 2026 the Chinese government, Ministry of National Defense, and PLA have issued no official statements, names, specifications, or confirmations about these specific aircraft.
- This market resolves on whether the Chinese government provides an official public acknowledgment of these new stealth jet models (or the associated sixth-generation program) before 2027.
- The market resolves YES if, at any time on or before 31 December 2026, there is clear, verifiable evidence that the Chinese government has publicly and explicitly acknowledged the existence or development of these specific new stealth fighter prototypes.
- Acceptable evidence includes:
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will China officially acknowledge its new sixth-gen tailless stealth fighter prototypes (J-36 / J-50) before 2027 ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 51% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will China officially acknowledge its new sixth-gen tailless stealth fighter prototypes (J-36 / J-50) before 2027 sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will China officially acknowledge its new sixth-gen tailless stealth fighter prototypes (J-36 / J-50) before 2027 doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will China officially acknowledge its new sixth-gen tailless stealth fighter prototypes (J-36 / J-50) before 2027 est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : [image]In December 2024, videos and photos of two previously unknown tailless stealth combat aircraft emerged on Chinese social media: a large triple-engine design (unofficially called the Chengdu J-36) and a smaller twin-engine design (unofficially called the Shenyang J-50 or J-XDS).