Will Benjamin Netanyahu ever be arrested, detained or face trial for war crimes?
GéopolitiqueOne-OffMoyen-OrientCriminalité et justice4a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 25 oct. 2026, 20:40 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleNon 87.4%
Prévisionnistes
110
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète20 mai 24, 17:59 UTC16 déc. 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiNetanyahu arrested by which date?
PolymarketRègles
The International Criminal Court’s chief prosecutor is seeking an arrest warrant for Benjamin Netanyahu.
- Will Netanyahu ever be arrested, detained or tried for war crimes or crimes against humanity?
- It will not be sufficient for this market if an arrest is made by someone without the power to enforce the arrest or detain him (eg. an activist accosts him and says that they’re making an arrest but his security staff get him away from the activist) or for him to be tried in absentia by a court who cannot enforce any ruling.
- If Netanyahu dies without ever having been arrested, detained or tried for these crimes, the market will resolve to NO.
- I don’t think that this resolution will be subjective, but just in case some edge case happens and it is subjective, I won’t be trading on this market.
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