Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 74.7%
Prévisionnistes
32
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète23 mai 24, 08:42 UTC1 janv. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
PolymarketWho will recognize Palestine before 2027?
KalshiWhich countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
PolymarketWill palestine be totally erased by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Palestine become a full member of the United Nations by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill Palestine be fully recognized as a United Nations member state by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
As of May 2024, the State of Palestine is recognized as a sovereign state by 143 of the 193 member states of the United Nations, while Israel is recognized by 165 UN member states.
- On May 22nd, 2024, Ireland, Norway and Spain announced that they would officially recognize Palestinian statehood.
- The decision would bring the number of UN member states that recognize a Palestinian state to 146.
- For this question, a country means a member state of the United Nations.
- The question resolves using the Wikipedia articles International recognition of the State of Palestine and International recognition of Israel, on January 1st, 2027.
Marchés ouverts
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+21.6pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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- Volume 24h
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POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 résultats de plus
KALSHIAl Qadsiah vs Al Ahli Saudi
- Al Qadsiah+21.0pt68.6%
- Tie-3.0pt20.6%
- Al Ahli Saudi-17.0pt10.8%
- Volume total
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.0pt55.1%
- Benjamin Netanyahu28.6%
- Naftali Bennett8.2%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.1pt98%
- Yes-0.1pt2%
- Volume total
- 6,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 107,6 k €
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- No+0.1pt100%
- Yes-0.1pt0%
- Volume total
- 1,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 104,5 k €
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
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- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Netanyahu out by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will as many or more countries recognize Palestine than Israel by 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 75% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will as many or more countries recognize Palestine than Israel by 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will as many or more countries recognize Palestine than Israel by 2027? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will as many or more countries recognize Palestine than Israel by 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : As of May 2024, the State of Palestine is recognized as a sovereign state by 143 of the 193 member states of the United Nations, while Israel is recognized by 165 UN member states.