KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleNew Zealand 13.4%En tête parmi 13 options
Qualite du marche
42 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
8,8 €
Liquidité
29,7 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
3.1% / 9.8%
Spread
6.7 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 27 minutes
4 déc. 25, 15:001 janv. 27, 4:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Finland7%
Comparer les plateformes· Italy
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMeilleur global82% de correspondance · vérifié | Moyenne | 16% | 0pt | 164,3 € | 70,5 k € | il y a 7 minutes | Ouvrir → |
| KalshiCette page | Faible | 14% | -2pt | 8,8 € | 29,7 k € | il y a 27 minutes |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
1.0 pts5mo
-0.5pt20.4%
-1.0pt14.8%
-2.5pt13%
+8 résultats de plus
56 • Qualité moyenneSpread largeLiquidité élevée
Volume total661,4 k €
Volume 24h164,3 €
POLYMARKETRègles
If Italy recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Official diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:
- - A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state - Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level - Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates) - Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations - An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty - A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister
- The following do **NOT** constitute recognition:
- - Trade relations or commercial agreements alone - Consular relations without diplomatic relations - Participation in the same international conference - Humanitarian assistance or aid - Cultural or educational exchanges - Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities) - Statements of "support" without formal recognition - De facto cooperation without formal recognition - Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred - Parliamentary resolutions without executive action
- **For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$105 juil.15j de données27 juil.
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If Italy recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Official diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:
- - A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state - Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level - Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates) - Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations - An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty - A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister
- The following do **NOT** constitute recognition:
- - Trade relations or commercial agreements alone - Consular relations without diplomatic relations - Participation in the same international conference - Humanitarian assistance or aid - Cultural or educational exchanges - Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities) - Statements of "support" without formal recognition - De facto cooperation without formal recognition - Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred - Parliamentary resolutions without executive action
- **For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge.