KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
New Zealand 9%En tête parmi 13 options
Qualité du marché
42 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
30,4 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
7.9 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
4 déc. 25, 15:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will as many or more countries recognize Palestine than Israel by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
PolymarketWill the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?
KalshiWill Trump recognize Somaliland?
KalshiWill Trump recognize Taiwan?
KalshiWill Israel recognize some other micronation again in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If Italy recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalFinancial TimesBBCCNNABCCBSFox NewsMSNBC
- Official diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:
- - A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state - Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level - Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates) - Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations - An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty - A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister
- The following do **NOT** constitute recognition:
- - Trade relations or commercial agreements alone - Consular relations without diplomatic relations - Participation in the same international conference - Humanitarian assistance or aid - Cultural or educational exchanges - Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities) - Statements of "support" without formal recognition - De facto cooperation without formal recognition - Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred - Parliamentary resolutions without executive action
- **For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who will recognize Palestine before 2027? ?
- Kalshi cote New Zealand à 9% au 22 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who will recognize Palestine before 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who will recognize Palestine before 2027? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Who will recognize Palestine before 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Italy recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Où Who will recognize Palestine before 2027? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Polymarket.