Which of these countries will recognize the state of Israel by 2040? [Ṁ1500 Pool]
Middle EastGéopolitiqueOne-Off14aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleBolivia 100%En tête parmi 32 options
Prévisionnistes
27
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+61.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète30 oct. 23, 19:37 UTC1 janv. 41, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
PolymarketWhich countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
PolymarketWill Israel recognize a state of Palestine before the end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill as many or more countries recognize Palestine than Israel by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Finland recognize a state of Palestine before 2030
Manifold MarketsWill the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?
KalshiRègles
Any number of these states can resolve Yes at any time between now and the end of 2040.
- All remaining will resolve No at that time.
- If recognition is granted and then later withdrawn, the Yes resolution will remain.
- In the last few years, multiple nations have normalized relations with Israel, such as Morocco, UAE, and Kosovo.
- Will this trend pick up again, or will the recent destruction in Palestine cause a long diplomatic winter?
- If any states break preexisting relations with Israel, they can be added by me.
Marchés ouverts
Middle EastPOLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+3.5pt64%
- October 31+5.0pt39%
- September 3010%
+17 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 26,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 234,9 k €
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No+1.0pt84.2%
- Yes-1.0pt15.8%
- Volume total
- 59,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 230,8 k €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 20+3.0pt100%
- September 25+5.0pt96%
- September 30+9.0pt90%
+3 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by which date?
- October 31+3.0pt76%
- September 3030%
- September 22-5.0pt1%
+1 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31-1.5pt18%
- October 31-2.0pt11%
- September 30-1.7pt1%
+9 résultats de plus
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Iran leadership change by which date?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which of these countries will recognize the state of Israel by 2040? [Ṁ1500 Pool] ?
- Manifold Markets cote Bolivia à 100% au 21 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which of these countries will recognize the state of Israel by 2040? [Ṁ1500 Pool] sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which of these countries will recognize the state of Israel by 2040? [Ṁ1500 Pool] doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2041.
- Comment Which of these countries will recognize the state of Israel by 2040? [Ṁ1500 Pool] est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Any number of these states can resolve Yes at any time between now and the end of 2040.