Will any data center be attacked to oppose AI development by 2030?
GéopolitiqueIAOne-OffMiddle East3a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 88.8%
Prévisionnistes
22
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète26 juin 24, 06:46 UTC3 janv. 30, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
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PolymarketRègles
Eliezer Yudkowsky stated, in regards to AI risk, "Be willing to destroy a rogue datacenter by airstrike." Is this going to happen? If an AI-aligned datacenter is attacked, this question resolves YES.
- Minor vandalism or protest-related damage would not qualify.
- Update 2025-11-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve YES if there is clear intentionality to attack a data center to oppose AI development, even if the attack is stopped before causing significant damage (e.g., if attackers are stopped after breaking in but before destroying equipment).
- Or if like the air strike gets destroyed or misses lol
- Update 2025-11-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Cyberattacks: Only physical attacks count for resolution.
- Ransomware or similar cyberattacks that don't cause physical damage would not qualify.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will any data center be attacked to oppose AI development by 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 89% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will any data center be attacked to oppose AI development by 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will any data center be attacked to oppose AI development by 2030? doit être résolu le 3 janvier 2030.
- Comment Will any data center be attacked to oppose AI development by 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Eliezer Yudkowsky stated, in regards to AI risk, "Be willing to destroy a rogue datacenter by airstrike." Is this going to happen? If an AI-aligned datacenter is attacked, this question resolves YES.