Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 82.5%
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète19 déc. 25, 23:57 UTC1 janv. 30, 23:47 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?
KalshiWill any data center be attacked to oppose AI development by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Microsoft power its data center with SMR(Small Modular Reactor) by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Congress pass legislation explicitly authorizing or funding the White House Ballroom project by Jan 3, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Kevin O'Leary's Utah Data Center project break ground in 2026?
PolymarketWhen will Trump's ballroom be completed?
KalshiRègles
Resolves YES with large-scale credible evidence or Trump/white house staff themselves reveals that the ballroom project is also an underground data center.
- Resolves NO if the ballroom is finished and certainly contains no underground data center.
- The underground portion of construction has to be on white house ground near or directly under the above ground portion of new construction replacing the demolished east wing.
- It must include a data center to resolve yes but also can include other elements.
- (https://www.youtube.com/embed/VbJ4ilDvGyc?si=4devuDvE-Z_aaxsS)Update 2025-12-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will determine resolution based on how the underground/protected portion is presented or announced in credible details.
- If the language used is mainly "data center" or "data storage/processing facility", the market can resolve YES.
Marchés ouverts
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume total
- 12,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 182,3 k €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt40%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-5.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-16.0pt33%
+7 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+3.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 202795%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,4 M €
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt20.4%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.4%
- $1.5T–$1.75T+0.1pt18.4%
+5 résultats de plus
- Conference to Win the National Championship
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Space Exploration Technologies' Market Cap end of September 2026?
- Will Delaware raise its corporate franchise tax?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Is Trump's ballroom project an underground data center? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 83% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Is Trump's ballroom project an underground data center? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Is Trump's ballroom project an underground data center? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2030.
- Comment Is Trump's ballroom project an underground data center? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES with large-scale credible evidence or Trump/white house staff themselves reveals that the ballroom project is also an underground data center.