Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 85.1%
Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète19 déc. 25, 23:57 UTC1 janv. 30, 23:47 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
When will Trump's ballroom be completed?
KalshiWill Congress pass legislation explicitly authorizing or funding the White House Ballroom project by Jan 3, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?
KalshiWill any data center be attacked to oppose AI development by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Microsoft power its data center with SMR(Small Modular Reactor) by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill there be an AI data center powered by new nuclear power by 2030?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolves YES with large-scale credible evidence or Trump/white house staff themselves reveals that the ballroom project is also an underground data center.
- Resolves NO if the ballroom is finished and certainly contains no underground data center.
- The underground portion of construction has to be on white house ground near or directly under the above ground portion of new construction replacing the demolished east wing.
- It must include a data center to resolve yes but also can include other elements.
- (https://www.youtube.com/embed/VbJ4ilDvGyc?si=4devuDvE-Z_aaxsS)Update 2025-12-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will determine resolution based on how the underground/protected portion is presented or announced in credible details.
- If the language used is mainly "data center" or "data storage/processing facility", the market can resolve YES.
