KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Before 2030 81%En tête parmi 4 options
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
13,1 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
2.3 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
29 janv. 26, 15:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
White House ballroom completed before the end of Trump's second term?
Manifold MarketsIs Trump's ballroom project an underground data center?
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiRègles
If the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Wall Street JournalCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBCThe GuardianSouth China Morning PostCBCABCBBCThe Washington PostThe VergeABC News Australia
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify.
- Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
- If the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 695,7 k €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume total
- 24,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 294,7 k €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 54,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 291,3 k €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When will Trump's ballroom be completed? ?
- Kalshi cote Before 2030 à 81% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand When will Trump's ballroom be completed? sera-t-il résolu ?
- When will Trump's ballroom be completed? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment When will Trump's ballroom be completed? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.