White House ballroom completed before the end of Trump's second term?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaine2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 11:40 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleNon 57.2%
Prévisionnistes
21
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 35 minutes
23 oct. 25, 02:43 UTC20 janv. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the White House Ballroom really be a ballroom?
Manifold MarketsWill SCOTUS end the White House ballroom injunction?
KalshiIn what month will the first event be hosted in Trump's new White House Ballroom?
Manifold MarketsFirst event in new White House ballroom?
Manifold MarketsWhat will happen during Trump's second term?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Trump's ballroom be completed?
KalshiRègles
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves to "Yes" if the White House ballroom announced on the site of the East Wing of the White House is completed by the end of Donald Trump's second term as the President of the United States.
- The ballroom will be considered complete only if both of the following occur:
- An official announcement by the White House of the project's completion and/or official opening
- Construction on the building is completed or no longer ongoing according to reports by major media -- so if the ballroom is "officially opened" while some segments of construction still being finished that will not count until the construction is finished.
- President Trump's second term will be considered to have ended on January 20, 2029, or if Trump leaves office for any reason before then due to resignation, removal, or death.
