Will Anthropic's public Form S-1 appear on SEC EDGAR by October 31, 2026?
RégulationOne-OffBusiness & CorporateIAChessCorporate ActionsSport1moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 77.7%
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6
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète18 sept. 26, 21:25 UTC1 nov. 26, 06:00 UTC
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PolymarketRègles
Anthropic, PBC confidentially submitted a draft registration statement on Form S-1 to the SEC on June 1, 2026 (Anthropic's own announcement, CNBC).
- A confidential draft is not public and is not visible on EDGAR.
- At some point before a roadshow, the company must "flip" the filing public — the prospectus has to be in investors' hands at least 15 days before the roadshow begins.
- This market asks whether that public flip happens by the end of October 2026.
- Resolution criteria
- Resolves YES if, on or before October 31, 2026 (EDGAR filing date, US Eastern time), a Form S-1 registration statement (or an S-1/A amendment that makes the previously confidential draft publicly available) filed by Anthropic, PBC — or by a renamed/reorganized successor entity for the same company — is publicly viewable on the SEC's EDGAR system at https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar and https://efts.sec.gov/LATEST/search-index?q=anthropic
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Anthropic's public Form S-1 appear on SEC EDGAR by October 31, 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 78% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Anthropic's public Form S-1 appear on SEC EDGAR by October 31, 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Anthropic's public Form S-1 appear on SEC EDGAR by October 31, 2026? doit être résolu le 1 novembre 2026.
- Comment Will Anthropic's public Form S-1 appear on SEC EDGAR by October 31, 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Anthropic, PBC confidentially submitted a draft registration statement on Form S-1 to the SEC on June 1, 2026 (Anthropic's own announcement, CNBC).