Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 75.7%
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard10 sept. 26, 17:25 UTC30 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Jacob Coxon publicly testify before congress by October 31?
PolymarketWill someone confuse me (Jacob Cohen) with Jacob Coxon during the month of September?
Manifold MarketsWill the California billionaire wealth tax appear on the ballot?
KalshiWill Anthropic's public Form S-1 appear on SEC EDGAR by October 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Jacob Kalinovskiy 10x value at Recall.ai?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketRègles
Jacob Coxon (@hilbertspaess) on X
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Jacob Coxon (@hilbertspaess on X) appears as a guest on any episode of the All-In Podcast on or before November 30, 2026.
- An "appearance" is defined as Jacob Coxon participating directly as a speaker or interviewee in the All-In Podcast with the Besties, the original and flagship show of the All-In brand, which distributes the episodes displayed on this YouTube Podcast list: All-In Podcast
- If no such appearance occurs by 11:59 PM PT on November 30, 2026, this market resolves to NO.
- AI pretraining researcher Jacob Coxon went viral for his resignation from Anthropic, prompting even Jason Calcanis to send him a tweet to "come on the pod": Jacob Coxon (@hilbertspaess) on X.
Marchés ouverts
AIKALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.6pt68.9%
- ChatGPT+0.4pt12.6%
- Gemini+1.6pt10.7%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 10 M €
- Volume 24h
- 87,4 k €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-11.0pt69%
- December 15,-8.5pt65%
- November 30,-5.0pt50%
+7 résultats de plus
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 5.6%+18.0pt99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 4.5%99%
+6 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 228,5 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIDeepSeek market share this week
- Above 24.3%+13.0pt99%
- Above 24.7%+30.0pt99%
- Above 23.6%+1.0pt99%
+6 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.0–$2.25T+0.1pt25%
- $2.25–$2.5T-5.0pt19.8%
- $1.75–$2.0T-3.0pt16.7%
+7 résultats de plus
KALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.55%99%
- Above 2.05%99%
- Above 2.25%99%
+6 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 239,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 53,3 k €
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Claude Opus released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- OpenAI market share this week
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Anthropic lab leak by which date?
- Best AI this week
- When will the U.S. enact an AI kill switch law?
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Jacob Coxon Will Appear on the All-In Podcast with the Besties ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 76% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand Jacob Coxon Will Appear on the All-In Podcast with the Besties sera-t-il résolu ?
- Jacob Coxon Will Appear on the All-In Podcast with the Besties doit être résolu le 30 novembre 2026.
- Comment Jacob Coxon Will Appear on the All-In Podcast with the Besties est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Jacob Coxon (@hilbertspaess) on X