PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Anthropic 96%
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
41,8 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
96.4% / 96.5%
Écart
0.1 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
3
Variation 7j
+1.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
30 janv. 26, 22:45 UTC31 déc. 27, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Max (Anthropic, OpenAI annualized revenue) by end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?
Polymarketthird wave of philanthropy seems to be happening within a year of anthropic&openai IPO?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic and OpenAI IPO in the same month?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketLead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
- This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
- This market will resolve 50-50 if: - Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; - Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or - By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
- The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
- The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
2 plateformes cotent actuellement ce marché. La probabilité de référence pondérée par la liquidité de CoinRithm pour Anthropic est de 94%. Les cotations s'écartent d'environ 2 points de pourcentage entre les plateformes extrêmes.
Référence CoinRithm Anthropic 94% · 2 plateformes · 2 pt d’ecart entre venues
Marchés ouverts
AI
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+60.0pt71%
- claude-opus-5-max+1.0pt7%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 132,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 100,3 k €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.8pt60.8%
- ChatGPT+0.5pt25.5%
- Grok-3.4pt5.9%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,1 M €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+22.0pt62.2%
- 2027+11.0pt28.6%
- 2026+4.5pt9.2%
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+5.0pt80.4%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt12.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 322,4 k €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-1.0pt66%
- 1490+-3.5pt51%
- 1500+-1.0pt30%
+2 résultats de plus
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? ?
- Polymarket cote Anthropic à 96% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2027.
- Comment Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
- Où Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Manifold Markets, Kalshi.