PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleAnthropic 86%
Qualite du marche
79 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
786,8 €
Liquidité
20,8 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
85.0% / 86.0%
Spread
1.2%
Spread serréVariation 7j
+6.0%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
30 janv. 26, 22:4531 déc. 27, 0:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Anthropic86%
Comparer les plateformes· Anthropic
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketCette pageMeilleur global | Élevée | 86% | +3pt | 786,8 € | 20,8 k € | il y a 8 minutes | |
 Kalshi80% de correspondance · vérifié | Moyenne | 83% | 0pt | 332,5 € | 68 k € | il y a 8 minutes | Ouvrir → |
 Manifold Markets80% de correspondance · vérifié | — | 85% | +2pt | — | — | avant-hier | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Kalshi
Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?
13a
+1.0%83%
20%
64 • Qualité moyenneSpread largeLiquidité élevée
Volume total275,4 k €
Volume 24h332,5 €
KALSHIÉgalement disponible sur Manifold Markets
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
5mo
+2.3%85.3%
-2.3%14.7%
Prévision communautaire71 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRègles
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
- This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
- This market will resolve 50-50 if: - Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; - Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or - By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
- The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
- The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$8983 juil.20j de données22 juil.
Marchés Associés
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by July 31?
3,5 k €↑$1.15T: 26%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
2,9 k €Before Sep 1, 2026: 3%KALSHI
KALSHIastral.sh acquisition market
569,2 €OpenAI/Astral publicly deprecates or archives any current Astral project (uv, ruff, ty): 13.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
359,8 €No IPO by December 31, 2026: 82%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWhat Month in 2026 Will OpenAI IPO in?
306,8 €June 2026: 0.3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?
167,9 €Earbuds/Headphones: 17%KALSHI
KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Google Is Building an AI Chip Just for Gemini—And Investors Already Moved On ItDecrypt
WhiteBIT Launches AI Hub: Trade, Monitor and Automate Through Your Favourite AI AssistantBlockchain Reporter
Over 95% of Coinbase’s code is now written with AICointelegraph
DeepSeek plots $71B IPO to challenge OpenAI in global AI raceCrypto News
DeepMind CEO Says AGI Will Be Bigger Than Electricity or FireDecrypt
NVIDIA Nemotron AI Challenge Offers Lessons on Improving Model ReasoningBlockchain.NewsRègles
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
- This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
- This market will resolve 50-50 if: - Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; - Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or - By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
- The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
- The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.