Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 94.8%
Prévisionnistes
13
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 22 minutes
5 juin 26, 02:52 UTC31 déc. 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
resolves yes if they IPO and are listed on a public exchange and the first day of trading for both of them is in the same calendar month
- An ipo on October 30 2026 and November 2 2026 would resolve no (different month)
- An ipo on November 3 2026 and November 29 2026 would resolve yes (same month)
- Must be same month and year.
- Nov 2026 and Nov 2027 don’t count.
Marchés ouverts
Corporate Actions
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-1.0pt86%
- November 30,-1.5pt84%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 48,8 k €
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 182,1 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027+4.0pt54%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+1.6pt60.2%
- SpaceX-5.0pt37.8%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2%
+9 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- 1.5T++12.8pt77.7%
- 1.25T–1.5T-4.0pt7.8%
- 1T–1.25T-1.5pt5.8%
+4 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.0–$2.25T+0.2pt20.9%
- $2.5–$2.75T+7.5pt19.1%
- $1.75–$2.0T-7.0pt18.1%
+7 résultats de plus
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Anthropic and OpenAI IPO in the same month? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 95% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Anthropic and OpenAI IPO in the same month? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Anthropic and OpenAI IPO in the same month? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2030.
- Comment Will Anthropic and OpenAI IPO in the same month? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : resolves yes if they IPO and are listed on a public exchange and the first day of trading for both of them is in the same calendar month