Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?
3.0 pts (24h)ExchangeIATechOne-OffCorporate ActionsBusiness & Corporate5mo
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleAnthropic + OpenAI 68.3%+0.0pt
Qualite du marche
39 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
4,4 €
Liquidité
3,3 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
61.0% / 76.0%
Spread
15.0 pt
Spread largeVariation 7j
+26.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
19 mai 26, 20:301 janv. 27, 12:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Anthropic + OpenAI 69%
Tendance du volume
$56 juil.18j de données28 juil.
Marchés Associés
Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by July 31?
932 €↑$875B: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWill OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
597,8 €↑$900B: 73%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?
51,7 €OpenAI: 19%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
SpaceX Market Cap after Lock Up Period?
0 €Below 0.5T: 1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSCombined IPO market cap of Anthropic + OpenAI + SpaceX
44,4 €Under $3T: 1.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhat will happen to OpenAI by 1st January 2029
42,2 €It IPOs at an IPO Price that gives a $1trillion or higher valuation: 60.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActifs dans ces sujets
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This market will resolve to "OpenAI + Anthropic" if the combined private market valuation of Anthropic and OpenAI is larger than Microsoft's market capitalization on December 31, 2026, or to "Microsoft" if Microsoft's market capitalization exceeds that combined valuation.
- NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
- If NPM has not published relevant data for the specified date by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027.
- If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.
- If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the specified date, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.
- If a private company completes an IPO or direct listing prior to the specified date, this market will resolve according to the company's public market capitalization at the market close of the specified date or the most recent trading day.