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  • Accueil
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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Politique
  3. Will the California billionaire wealth tax appear on the ballot?
Will the California billionaire wealth tax appear on the ballot?

Will the California billionaire wealth tax appear on the ballot?

2.0% (24h)One-OffPolitiqueÉlectionBusiness & Corporate4mo
KalshiKalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Oui
Oui 84%-2.0%
Qualite du marche

44 / 100

Faible qualité
Volume 24h

9,5 €

Liquidité

264 €

Faible liquidité
Achat / Vente

77.0% / 82.0%

Spread

6.5%

Spread modéré
Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 1 minute

1 nov. 25, 14:003 nov. 26, 4:59

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Yes84%

PolymarketÉgalement disponible sur Polymarket

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

1.0%13j
Oui
Oui
-0.0%88%
Non
Non
+0.0%13%
60 • Qualité moyenneSpread modéréLiquidité moyenne
Volume total115,5 k €
Volume 24h13,9 €
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Règles

If a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative has been officially held in California before Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For the referendum to be "officially held," voting must have commenced and concluded according to the established electoral process, votes must have been cast and are in the process of being counted or have been counted, and the referendum/ballot initiative must appear on official ballots distributed to eligible voters.
  • Voting must have officially ended by the specified date for the market to resolve Yes.
  • The following do NOT constitute "officially held": mere scheduling or announcement of the referendum for future voting, signature gathering or petition phases for ballot initiatives, court challenges or legal proceedings about the referendum, preliminary or unofficial results announcements, or recounts and post-election audits (the initial voting process determines resolution).
  • The referendum must be officially held within the specified geographic area, which can range from supranational to local jurisdictions or even "none" for certain special cases.

Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.

Marchés Associés

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Oui: 39%KalshiKALSHI
Will California’s billionaire tax take effect?

Will California’s billionaire tax take effect?

1,9 €
Oui: 44%KalshiKALSHI
Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?

Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?

247,3 €
Anduril: 38%KalshiKALSHI
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Oui: 97%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Largest Company end of June?

Largest Company end of June?

184,1 k €
NVIDIA: 92%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$62,741.94+1.93%EthereumETH$1,655.80+1.23%SolanaSOL$65.09+1.61%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.31%XRPXRP$1.12+0.44%BNBBNB$599.21+2.18%

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Règles

If a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative has been officially held in California before Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For the referendum to be "officially held," voting must have commenced and concluded according to the established electoral process, votes must have been cast and are in the process of being counted or have been counted, and the referendum/ballot initiative must appear on official ballots distributed to eligible voters.
  • Voting must have officially ended by the specified date for the market to resolve Yes.
  • The following do NOT constitute "officially held": mere scheduling or announcement of the referendum for future voting, signature gathering or petition phases for ballot initiatives, court challenges or legal proceedings about the referendum, preliminary or unofficial results announcements, or recounts and post-election audits (the initial voting process determines resolution).
  • The referendum must be officially held within the specified geographic area, which can range from supranational to local jurisdictions or even "none" for certain special cases.