Will the California billionaire wealth tax appear on the ballot?
One-OffPolitiqueÉlectionBusiness & Corporate3mo
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleOui 91%
Qualite du marche
49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidité
41,5 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
91.5% / 95.9%
Spread
4.8%
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 minutes
1 nov. 25, 14:003 nov. 26, 4:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Yes91%
Comparer les plateformes· Yes
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMeilleur global61% de correspondance · vérifié | Moyenne | 100% | — | 2,6 k € | 0 € | il y a 29 jours | Ouvrir → |
| KalshiCette page | Faible | 91% | — | 0 € | 41,5 k € | il y a 15 minutes |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
38.5%Fermés
Résolu
Oui (100%)
+0.4%100%
-0.4%0%
63 • Qualité moyenneSpread serréFaible liquidité
Volume total217,2 k €
Volume 24h2,6 k €
POLYMARKETRègles
If a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative has been officially held in California before Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For the referendum to be "officially held," voting must have commenced and concluded according to the established electoral process, votes must have been cast and are in the process of being counted or have been counted, and the referendum/ballot initiative must appear on official ballots distributed to eligible voters.
- Voting must have officially ended by the specified date for the market to resolve Yes.
- The following do NOT constitute "officially held": mere scheduling or announcement of the referendum for future voting, signature gathering or petition phases for ballot initiatives, court challenges or legal proceedings about the referendum, preliminary or unofficial results announcements, or recounts and post-election audits (the initial voting process determines resolution).
- The referendum must be officially held within the specified geographic area, which can range from supranational to local jurisdictions or even "none" for certain special cases.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$102 juil.22j de données25 juil.
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If a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative has been officially held in California before Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For the referendum to be "officially held," voting must have commenced and concluded according to the established electoral process, votes must have been cast and are in the process of being counted or have been counted, and the referendum/ballot initiative must appear on official ballots distributed to eligible voters.
- Voting must have officially ended by the specified date for the market to resolve Yes.
- The following do NOT constitute "officially held": mere scheduling or announcement of the referendum for future voting, signature gathering or petition phases for ballot initiatives, court challenges or legal proceedings about the referendum, preliminary or unofficial results announcements, or recounts and post-election audits (the initial voting process determines resolution).
- The referendum must be officially held within the specified geographic area, which can range from supranational to local jurisdictions or even "none" for certain special cases.