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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Régulation
  3. Will California’s billionaire tax take effect?
Will California’s billionaire tax take effect?

Will California’s billionaire tax take effect?

RégulationOne-OffPolitiqueUS PoliticsÉlectionBusiness & Corporate6mo
KalshiKalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Oui
Oui 44%
Qualite du marche

28 / 100

Faible qualité
Volume 24h

1,9 €

Liquidité

13 €

Faible liquidité
Achat / Vente

45.0% / 50.0%

Spread

11.1%

Spread large
Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes

16 mai 26, 21:001 janv. 27, 4:59

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Yes44%

Règles

If California’s 2026 billionaire tax will become legally operative after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For purposes of this market, California’s 2026 billionaire tax becomes legally operative only if the measure is approved by voters and is not superseded, blocked, or rendered inoperative by any higher-vote conflicting ballot measure approved at the same election.
  • Reporting that the measure merely received more Yes than No votes does not qualify unless the report also indicates that the measure will become operative, enforceable, or legally effective. “Legally operative” does not require that any tax has been collected, paid, assessed, or become due.
  • Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
  • Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify.
  • Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.

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Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$62,804.74+2.15%EthereumETH$1,655.68+1.43%SolanaSOL$65.13+1.36%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.35%XRPXRP$1.12+0.29%BNBBNB$595.92+1.65%

Actualités Associées

Crypto tax bills draw scrutiny as House hearing opens debateCrypto NewsCrypto tax bills a work-in-progress as U.S. House lawmakers pose concernsCoindeskKristin Smith pushes Senate to protect crypto developers in CLARITY ActCrypto NewsSolana Institute CEO says CLARITY Act must shield open-source developersCointelegraphFormer Epstein assistant Lesley Groff appears before House panel Crypto NewsParadigm challenges FDIC over controversial stablecoin yield banCrypto News

Règles

If California’s 2026 billionaire tax will become legally operative after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For purposes of this market, California’s 2026 billionaire tax becomes legally operative only if the measure is approved by voters and is not superseded, blocked, or rendered inoperative by any higher-vote conflicting ballot measure approved at the same election.
  • Reporting that the measure merely received more Yes than No votes does not qualify unless the report also indicates that the measure will become operative, enforceable, or legally effective. “Legally operative” does not require that any tax has been collected, paid, assessed, or become due.
  • Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
  • Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify.
  • Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.