KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Above 20.8% 54%En tête parmi 9 options
Qualité du marché
44 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
9,6 k €
Liquidité
9,1 k €
Liquidité moyenneDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
14 sept. 26, 16:00 UTC21 sept. 26, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will OpenAI share an official framework for disclosing misalignment incidents by the end of October 2026?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketOpen Source market share on Sep 14th
KalshiAll Millennium Prize Problems solved before 2030?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If OpenAI scores above 20.8% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Sep 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:OpenRouter - AI Market Share
- This event will resolve based on 10:00AM ET Monday updated values for the week of Sep 14, 2026.
- If the named model author’s market share is not separately identified in the source chart, including if it is included in “Others,” all markets in the event will resolve to No. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the governing benchmark.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If OpenAI scores above 21.8% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Sep 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
AIKALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt68.3%
- ChatGPT-1.8pt15.8%
- Gemini-0.3pt5.9%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 70,3 k €
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027-3.0pt89%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-5.0pt86%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-8.0pt79%
+9 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.5pt85%
- December 15,-0.5pt85%
- November 30,80%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIOpen Source market share on Sep 14th
- Above 67.5%99%
- Above 72.5%99%
- Above 70%+22.0pt99%
+6 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 54,4 k €
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude90.7%
- Gemini2.8%
- ChatGPT0.9%
+6 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 21,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 21,9 k €
POLYMARKETWhich AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?
- SpaceXAI47%
- Google45%
- Microsoft41%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 20,9 k €
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour OpenAI market share this week ?
- Kalshi cote Above 20.8% à 54% au 15 septembre 2026.
- Quand OpenAI market share this week sera-t-il résolu ?
- OpenAI market share this week doit être résolu le 21 septembre 2026.
- Comment OpenAI market share this week est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If OpenAI scores above 20.8% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Sep 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.