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Play-money forecasting platform
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Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
27 sept. 26, 11:57 UTC16 oct. 26, 07:00 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
When will Anthropic release Claude 6?
KalshiNext Claude Sonnet released on?
PolymarketNext Claude Sonnet released by which date?
PolymarketClaude Sonnet 5 METR 50% time horizon
Manifold MarketsWhat will Claude Sonnet's output token price hit in 2026?
PolymarketWill a new Claude Sonnet model be released in September 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolves YES if Anthropic makes a model officially named Claude Sonnet 5.5 (or any Claude Sonnet model with a higher version number, e.g. Sonnet 5.6 or Sonnet 6) generally available on or before October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM Pacific.
- Generally available means publicly usable by ordinary paying customers through at least one official channel: the Claude API, claude.ai, or an official cloud partner listing (Amazon Bedrock, Google Vertex AI).
- A partner-only preview, an early-access program, or a leaked model string does not count.
- Resolution source: Anthropic's release notes (https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/release-notes/overview) or an announcement on https://www.anthropic.com/news.
- The release date is the date of the official announcement or release-notes entry.
- Resolves NO if no such release happens by the deadline.