What will Claude Sonnet's output token price hit in 2026?
14.0 pts (24h)Plateformes d'échangeQuarterlyIADivertissementMusique3mois
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
↓ $8 32%-14.0ptEn tête parmi 4 options
↓ $8 32%-14.0ptQualité du marché
31 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
159,9 €
Liquidité
1 k €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
40.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
24 sept. 26, 08:36 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Polymarket
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Ordre minimum (parts):
- 5
- Pas de cotation:
- 1 points de pourcentage
- Frais:
- Oui
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Claude Sonnet 5.1+: Output Token Price Debut?
PolymarketNext Claude Sonnet released on?
PolymarketNext Claude Sonnet released by which date?
PolymarketClaude Sonnet 5 METR 50% time horizon
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic release Claude Sonnet 5.5 by October 15, 2026?
Manifold MarketsClaude Sonnet 4.6 METR 50% time horizon
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard output token price of Anthropic's latest Claude Sonnet model is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the price specified in the title, in USD per million tokens, at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Anthropic's latest Claude Sonnet model means the model with the highest version number among models by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet, such as Claude Sonnet 4.6 or Claude Sonnet 5, that have a standard output token price listed on Anthropic's official API pricing page.
- If more than one such model shares the highest version number, the most recently released of them applies.
- Only models that are publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups, will be considered; models available only through a closed beta or any form of private or limited access will not qualify.
- The relevant price is the “Base tokens” output price on Anthropic’s official API pricing page for default global inference, at the rate applicable to requests that do not trigger a long-context surcharge.
