KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Before Nov 1, 2026 49%+27.0pt
Qualité du marché
66 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
14,6 k €
Liquidité
8,2 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
32.0% / 34.0%
Écart
2.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 32 minutes
21 sept. 26, 18:30 UTC1 oct. 26, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
When will Trump rename something else?
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KalshiWhat geographic features will Trump rename? [read description]
Manifold MarketsRègles
If Donald Trump formally adopts or directs adoption of a replacement name for Artificial Intelligence or AI for United States official use through a personally signed presidential action after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The qualifying action must be of the specific type designated (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding), be signed by the President personally during the specified time period, and explicitly address the topic in the document's operative provisions, title, or official White House summary.
- Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial proclamations without policy impact do not qualify unless specifically included.
- Actions that only incidentally mention the topic, statements without formal action, actions by cabinet members, legislative proposals without executive action, and signing statements do not qualify.
- The action must be publicly announced or documented by a Source Agency before expiration.
- The topic is the preexisting official designation Artificial Intelligence or AI for United States official use.
Marchés ouverts
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- Democrats sweep+2.0pt61.8%
- D-House, R-Senate-1.0pt28.4%
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+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 16,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,4 M €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+1.4pt65%
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- Flávio Bolsonaro-1.9pt57.8%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+2.0pt41.2%
- Renan Santos1%
+16 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.6%
- Gavin Newsom14.6%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 195,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 599,1 k €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio-0.3pt15%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 résultats de plus
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POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.1pt4%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When will Trump officially rename AI? ?
- Kalshi cote Before Nov 1, 2026 à 49% au 23 septembre 2026.
- Quand When will Trump officially rename AI? sera-t-il résolu ?
- When will Trump officially rename AI? doit être résolu le 1 octobre 2026.
- Comment When will Trump officially rename AI? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Donald Trump formally adopts or directs adoption of a replacement name for Artificial Intelligence or AI for United States official use through a personally signed presidential action after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.