Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibré
Prévision communautaire actuelle
Strait of Hormuz 50%
En tête parmi 6 options
Prévisionnistes
12
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète
31 janv. 25, 23:10 UTC21 janv. 29, 05:59 UTC
Tendances
Résultat24hProbabilité
Règles
Trump has renamed the Gulf of Mexico to the Gulf of America, and renamed Denali to Mount McKinley.
What else will he rename before the end of his second term?
Resolution criteria:
Each answer resolves YES when any of the following happen:
Any feature that previously had the respective name is renamed in the Geographic Names Information System (whether Trump is directly responsible or not)
An executive order is issued directing that any feature that previously had the respective name be renamed in the Geographic Names Information System