KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 91%
Qualité du marché
45 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
94 €
Liquidité
405,4 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
6.0% / 12.0%
Écart
6.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
9 juil. 26, 18:37 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026?
PolymarketWhen will Trump rename something else?
KalshiWill Trump rename the Strait of Hormuz after himself?
KalshiWill Trump rename the Strait of Hormuz?
KalshiWhat geographic features will Trump rename? [read description]
Manifold MarketsRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRègles
If Donald Trump has taken any executive action renaming U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement to a name abbreviated NICE (such as National Immigration and Customs Enforcement) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The qualifying action must be of the specific type designated (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding), be signed by the President personally during the specified time period, and explicitly address the topic in the document's operative provisions, title, or official White House summary.
- Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial proclamations without policy impact do not qualify unless specifically included.
- Actions that only incidentally mention the topic, statements without formal action, actions by cabinet members, legislative proposals without executive action, and signing statements do not qualify.
- The action must be publicly announced or documented by a Source Agency before expiration.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Trump rename ICE to NICE? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 91% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Trump rename ICE to NICE? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Trump rename ICE to NICE? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Trump rename ICE to NICE? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Donald Trump has taken any executive action renaming U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement to a name abbreviated NICE (such as National Immigration and Customs Enforcement) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.