KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Before Dec 1, 2026 56%-11.0ptEn tête parmi 4 options
Qualité du marché
52 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
131,7 €
Liquidité
4,2 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
2 sept. 26, 03:00 UTC1 oct. 26, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump rename the Strait of Hormuz after himself?
KalshiWill Trump rename the Strait of Hormuz?
KalshiWill Trump rename any ocean before October?
KalshiWill Trump rename an ocean in 2026?
PolymarketWhat geographic features will Trump rename? [read description]
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRègles
If Donald Trump has taken action by personally signing an executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding adopting or directing adoption of a replacement for a preexisting official name, or restoring or directing restoration of a prior official name, for United States use after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The qualifying action must be of the specific type designated (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding), be signed by the President personally during the specified time period, and explicitly address the topic in the document's operative provisions, title, or official White House summary.
- Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial proclamations without policy impact do not qualify unless specifically included.
- Actions that only incidentally mention the topic, statements without formal action, actions by cabinet members, legislative proposals without executive action, and signing statements do not qualify.
- The action must be publicly announced or documented by a Source Agency before expiration.
- A qualifying presidential action must adopt or direct adoption of a replacement for a preexisting official name, or restore or direct restoration of a prior official name, for United States use.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When will Trump rename something else? ?
- Kalshi cote Before Dec 1, 2026 à 56% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand When will Trump rename something else? sera-t-il résolu ?
- When will Trump rename something else? doit être résolu le 1 octobre 2026.
- Comment When will Trump rename something else? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Donald Trump has taken action by personally signing an executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding adopting or directing adoption of a replacement for a preexisting official name, or restoring or directing restoration of a prior official name, for United States use after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.